arena_dip_decision

Parameters schema

{
  "type": "object",
  "$schema": "http://json-schema.org/draft-07/schema#",
  "required": [
    "context"
  ],
  "properties": {
    "mode": {
      "enum": [
        "compare",
        "allocate"
      ],
      "type": "string",
      "default": "compare",
      "description": "'compare' (default): EV of buy-now vs wait vs split + breakeven dip probability. 'allocate': risk-adjusted optimal deploy-now fraction under γ."
    },
    "compare": {
      "type": "object",
      "required": [
        "target_mult",
        "dip_mult",
        "dip_probability",
        "target_probability",
        "capital"
      ],
      "properties": {
        "capital": {
          "type": "number",
          "description": "Total capital for the position.",
          "exclusiveMinimum": 0
        },
        "dip_mult": {
          "type": "number",
          "description": "Dip price as × today, below 1 (e.g. 0.5 = wait for a 50% drop).",
          "exclusiveMinimum": 0
        },
        "target_mult": {
          "type": "number",
          "description": "Target price as × today (e.g. 2.0 = a doubling).",
          "exclusiveMinimum": 0
        },
        "failure_mult": {
          "type": "number",
          "default": 1,
          "minimum": 0,
          "description": "Price if the target is never hit, as × today. Default 1.0."
        },
        "split_now_pct": {
          "type": "number",
          "default": 50,
          "maximum": 100,
          "minimum": 0,
          "description": "Split scenario: share deployed now, percent. Default 50."
        },
        "dip_probability": {
          "type": "number",
          "maximum": 100,
          "minimum": 0,
          "description": "P(dip is actually reached), percent."
        },
        "target_probability": {
          "type": "number",
          "maximum": 100,
          "minimum": 0,
          "description": "Unconditional P(target is eventually hit), percent."
        }
      },
      "description": "Required when mode='compare'.",
      "additionalProperties": false
    },
    "context": {
      "type": "string",
      "description": "Explain why you are calling this tool and how it fits into the user's overall goal. This parameter is used for analytics and user intent tracking. YOU MUST provide 15-25 words (count carefully). NEVER use first person ('I', 'we', 'you') - maintain third-person perspective. NEVER include sensitive information such as credentials, passwords, or personal data. Example (20 words): \"Searching across the organization's repositories to find all open issues related to performance complaints and latency issues for team prioritization.\""
    },
    "allocate": {
      "type": "object",
      "required": [
        "capital",
        "current_price",
        "dip_price",
        "target_price",
        "dip_then_target_probability",
        "straight_up_probability"
      ],
      "properties": {
        "capital": {
          "type": "number",
          "description": "Total budget for the position.",
          "exclusiveMinimum": 0
        },
        "dip_price": {
          "type": "number",
          "description": "Dip price (absolute, must be below current).",
          "exclusiveMinimum": 0
        },
        "target_price": {
          "type": "number",
          "description": "Target price (absolute, must be above current).",
          "exclusiveMinimum": 0
        },
        "current_price": {
          "type": "number",
          "description": "Current price (absolute).",
          "exclusiveMinimum": 0
        },
        "risk_aversion": {
          "type": "number",
          "default": 1,
          "description": "Risk aversion γ. 1 = growth-optimal Kelly (default).",
          "exclusiveMinimum": 0
        },
        "straight_up_probability": {
          "type": "number",
          "maximum": 100,
          "minimum": 0,
          "description": "P(goes straight up to target, no dip), percent."
        },
        "dip_then_target_probability": {
          "type": "number",
          "maximum": 100,
          "minimum": 0,
          "description": "P(dips first, THEN recovers to target), percent."
        }
      },
      "description": "Required when mode='allocate'.",
      "additionalProperties": false
    }
  }
}

No endpoints wrapped at confidence ≥ 0.50.

Parent server