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PRSM

prediction.watch

Active

Tool of Syenite

declared in 0.6.3

Registers a persistent background monitor for a specific Polymarket market that fires alerts when user-defined conditions are met. Supported conditions (at least one required): oddsThresholdPct (fire when implied probability crosses a target level), oddsMovePct (fire when probability moves by a delta% within a windowMinutes window), liquidityDropPct (fire when liquidity falls by a percentage from baseline), resolutionApproachingHours (fire when the market closes within N hours), and volumeSpikeMultiple (fire when 24h volume exceeds baseline by a multiple). Requires either slug or conditionId to identify the market (both returned by prediction.trending and prediction.search); optionally provide webhookUrl to receive POST payloads when conditions fire. Triggered alerts flow through alerts.check; use the returned watch ID with alerts.remove to stop monitoring. Does not place or cancel orders.

Parameters schema

{
  "type": "object",
  "$schema": "http://json-schema.org/draft-07/schema#",
  "required": [
    "conditions"
  ],
  "properties": {
    "slug": {
      "type": "string",
      "description": "Polymarket market slug"
    },
    "conditions": {
      "type": "object",
      "properties": {
        "oddsMovePct": {
          "type": "object",
          "required": [
            "delta",
            "windowMinutes"
          ],
          "properties": {
            "delta": {
              "type": "number",
              "description": "Minimum probability shift to trigger (percentage points, e.g. 5)",
              "exclusiveMinimum": 0
            },
            "windowMinutes": {
              "type": "number",
              "description": "Time window to measure the move over (minutes)",
              "exclusiveMinimum": 0
            }
          },
          "description": "Alert on a significant odds move within a time window"
        },
        "liquidityDropPct": {
          "type": "number",
          "maximum": 100,
          "minimum": 0,
          "description": "Alert when liquidity drops by this percentage"
        },
        "oddsThresholdPct": {
          "type": "number",
          "maximum": 100,
          "minimum": 0,
          "description": "Alert when YES probability crosses this threshold (0-100)"
        },
        "volumeSpikeMultiple": {
          "type": "number",
          "description": "Alert when volume exceeds this multiple of the 24h average (e.g. 3 = 3x spike)",
          "exclusiveMinimum": 1
        },
        "resolutionApproachingHours": {
          "type": "number",
          "description": "Alert when resolution is within this many hours",
          "exclusiveMinimum": 0
        }
      },
      "description": "At least one condition required"
    },
    "webhookUrl": {
      "type": "string",
      "format": "uri",
      "description": "Optional HTTPS webhook for alert delivery"
    },
    "conditionId": {
      "type": "string",
      "description": "Polymarket condition ID"
    }
  }
}

What this tool wraps· 0 endpoints

min confidence0.700.50

No endpoints wrapped at confidence ≥ 0.50.

Parent server

Syenite

https://github.com/syenite-ai/syenite

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prediction.watch — Syenite — PRSM MCP