create_thesis

Active

declared in 1.0.0

Create a new prediction market thesis from a TESTABLE CLAIM — a statement that can be verified true or false at a future time. GOOD: "Bitcoin closes 2026 above $50,000". BAD: "High conviction due to large price gap" (that is reasoning, not a claim). Builds a causal tree and scans for mispriced contracts. Formation takes ~60s.

Parameters schema

{
  "type": "object",
  "$schema": "http://json-schema.org/draft-07/schema#",
  "required": [
    "apiKey",
    "thesis"
  ],
  "properties": {
    "sync": {
      "type": "boolean",
      "default": true,
      "description": "Wait for formation to complete"
    },
    "apiKey": {
      "type": "string",
      "description": "SimpleFunctions API key. Get one at https://simplefunctions.dev/dashboard/keys"
    },
    "thesis": {
      "type": "string",
      "description": "Your thesis statement"
    }
  }
}

What this tool wraps· 0 endpoints

min confidence0.70 0.50

No endpoints wrapped at confidence ≥ 0.50.

Parent server

SimpleFunctions

https://github.com/spfunctions/simplefunctions-cli

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