weather_forecast

Active

declared in 3.2.4

7-model consensus + 80 ensemble members (GEFS 30 + ECMWF 50) for weather probability. When a threshold is given, returns both an empirical probability (direct member count) and a blended prob_exceeds (60% empirical / 40% Gumbel). Also returns method_divergence: if empirical and Gumbel disagree by >0.15, signal is forced to PASS regardless of spread. Also returns: signal (YES/NO/PASS), outlier (which model disagrees most with consensus). Coordinates aligned to NWS ASOS stations used by Kalshi/Polymarket for settlement. Cities: Chicago, New York, Miami, Houston, Phoenix, Seattle, Denver, Atlanta, Boston, LA. direction: 'greater' or 'less'. Cost: $0.02 via x402.

Parameters schema

{
  "type": "object",
  "required": [
    "city"
  ],
  "properties": {
    "city": {
      "type": "string"
    },
    "date": {
      "type": "string",
      "default": ""
    },
    "direction": {
      "type": "string",
      "default": "greater"
    },
    "threshold": {
      "anyOf": [
        {
          "type": "number"
        },
        {
          "type": "null"
        }
      ],
      "default": null
    }
  },
  "additionalProperties": false
}

What this tool wraps· 0 endpoints

min confidence0.70 0.50

No endpoints wrapped at confidence ≥ 0.70.

Parent server

xyz.lonestaroracle/mcp-server

https://github.com/Homie4570/lso-mcp

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